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Listed Infrastructure Offers Breadth and Liquidity

June 22, 2022

Listed infrastructure investors can take advantage of the attractive characteristics of the infrastructure asset class, such as lower volatility, inflation protection and diversification benefits, while enjoying the benefits of the listed markets such as liquidity and lower fees. Importantly, investing in the listed markets provides the flexibility for active managers to take advantage of market movements and to invest where they see value.

By our definition, the universe of listed infrastructure is over three times the size of unlisted infrastructure in general. This applies to all infrastructure asset types with the exception of renewable energy (which is around the same size as the unlisted universe) and non-core assets such as waste management and social infrastructure (neither of which are included in ClearBridge’s definition of infrastructure). There is a large pool of favorably regulated, well-managed utilities with high service and efficiency metrics in listed markets. (We consider regulation where returns are attractive, recovery of costs and capex is timely, and regulators work in partnership with asset owners to further develop their asset bases to be favorable.) These include NextEra Energy (U.S.), Severn Trent (U.K. Water) and Terna (Italy). Also, access to certain assets, for example U.S. freight rail companies such as CSX and Union Pacific, is difficult in unlisted markets. Listed vehicles have often been the consolidator and operate these assets to generate higher returns than unlisted counterparts due to economies of scale.

Listed infrastructure also offers greater liquidity, which enables managers to take advantage of volatility in the public markets to capture value. For example, the ability to tilt to more defensive regulated utilities in a stagflationary environment — where global growth slows but inflation remains high — would be just as important as the ability to pivot to GDP-sensitive areas as growth resumes.

While infrastructure assets, regardless of whether they are listed or unlisted, exhibit the same characteristics and operating cash flows, listed markets misprice infrastructure assets in the short term, creating valuation discrepancies at the security level. Listed infrastructure offers the possibility to take advantage of market mispricings, or situations where we identify conditions that might lead to company margin expansion or compression. This might also play out at the regional level, given changing political and regulatory regimes. The U.S. currently has $300 billion of unlisted “dry powder,” or private capital seeking infrastructure investment opportunities. This capital is at present paying a premium for listed assets, showing the attractiveness of listed infrastructure (Exhibit 1).

Exhibit 1: Listed Infrastructure Trading at Lower Multiples than Private

Exhibit 1: Listed Infrastructure Trading at Lower Multiples than Private

As of Dec. 31, 2021. Source: Inframation/GLIO. Purple line: rolling weighted average EV/EBITDA of the latest 10 developed market asset deals in utilities, energy transportation, renewables, transport and telecom infrastructure (covering ~$650 billion in deals). Blue line: GLIO listed infrastructure index weighted average 12-month forward EV/EBITDA of constituent companies.

Listed infrastructure’s universe breadth and liquidity advantage also make it an effective complement to an unlisted infrastructure allocation, offering similar long-term returns but with more flexibility. Comparing the returns for the Preqin Infrastructure Index (a proxy for unlisted infrastructure funds) with returns for a broad global listed infrastructure index maintained by the Global Listed Infrastructure Organization (GLIO), we find long-term returns of listed and unlisted infrastructure to be similar (Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 2: Listed and Unlisted Infrastructure Returns Similar Over Long Term

Exhibit 2: Listed and Unlisted Infrastructure Returns Similar Over Long Term

As of Dec. 31, 2021. Source: GLIO monthly total returns, Wilde/Preqin (unlagged), MSCI ACWI Index monthly total returns, GPR 250 Index monthly total returns, OECD G7 CPI. Indexed to 100.

Accordingly, our approach to company valuation mirrors that used by unlisted infrastructure investors and centers around the belief that, over time, the underlying value of assets is reflected in long-term cash flows. Many generalist investors take a shorter-term view, however, which can create market mispricings. These differences provide clear investment signals, allowing our specialist investment team to position portfolios that generate long-term infrastructure returns.

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  • Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Copyright © 2022 ClearBridge Investments. All opinions and data included in this commentary are as of the publication date and are subject to change. The opinions and views expressed herein are of the author and may differ from other portfolio managers or the firm as a whole, and are not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results or investment advice. This information should not be used as the sole basis to make any investment decision. The statistics have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of this information cannot be guaranteed. Neither ClearBridge Investments, LLC  nor its information providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.

  • Performance source: Internal. Benchmark source: Morgan Stanley Capital International. Neither ClearBridge Investments, LLC nor its information providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Performance is preliminary and subject to change. Neither MSCI nor any other party involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the MSCI data makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect to such data (or the results to be obtained by the use thereof), and all such parties hereby expressly disclaim all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose with respect to any of such data. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall MSCI, any of its affiliates or any third party involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the data have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) even if notified of the possibility of such damages. No further distribution or dissemination of the MSCI data is permitted without MSCI’s express written consent. Further distribution is prohibited. 
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