×
×
×
×
×

Tell us once and we'll remember.

I'm an...

Don't worry, you can always change this selection using the icons at the top left of the site.
  

Sustainability Is a Gating Factor for AI

Third Quarter 2026

Key Takeaways
  • ClearBridge’s discussions during U.N. Climate Week indicate investors are reinvigorated about climate, with the conversation increasingly focused on practical links among sustainability, affordability, resilience and economic competitiveness.
  • AI and data centers dominated the week. Their development increasingly depends on managing power, water and community impacts, creating opportunities for companies across ClearBridge portfolios that provide more sustainable infrastructure.
  • Sustainable food and responsible mineral production remain important investment issues. Climate and geopolitical shocks can compound food-security risks, while community-level information on mining must be connected to companies and translated into actionable investor questions.
Investors Reinvigorated About Climate

Held annually in New York alongside the United Nations General Assembly, Climate Week brings together investors, companies, policymakers, researchers and civil society organizations to discuss climate risks and solutions. ClearBridge attends these events to deepen our understanding of emerging sustainability issues, compare perspectives with experts across industries and identify developments that could be material to our portfolio companies.

This work complements the company-level research and engagement performed throughout the year by ClearBridge analysts and portfolio managers. We seek to understand how environmental and social factors affect costs, competitive positioning, access to resources, regulatory exposure and long-term value creation.

Our overarching observation from this year’s Climate Week was that investors appear reinvigorated about climate. Conversations focused on the mechanisms through which climate and sustainability issues are already affecting businesses: energy affordability, resource efficiency, infrastructure resilience, insurance availability, community acceptance and economic competitiveness.

Not surprisingly, AI was central to almost all of these discussions. Participants debated not only the environmental footprint associated with data-center growth, but also AI’s potential “handprint”: how the technology might enable scientific advances, optimize power systems, improve industrial processes and accelerate the development of lower-carbon technologies. Energy efficiency was a key pillar of AI’s potential positive effects on climate, although we acknowledge projections far out into the future remain highly theoretical. All in all, while stakeholders debate the pros and cons of AI center development — and headlines over the summer have overwhelmingly highlighted the cons — AI infrastructure is on track to be built: the question for investors is how it can be built responsibly.

Food Security and Responsible Mining Remain Material

Although AI and data centers dominated the week, sustainable food and human rights in mining were also important areas of focus for ClearBridge.

For sustainable food, the central question is what happens when geopolitical disruption and climate variability affect agricultural inputs at the same time. Recent disruptions to fertilizer production and trade illustrate the issue. Nitrogen-based fertilizer must be available during relatively inflexible planting windows; a delayed shipment cannot necessarily be recovered later in the growing season. If fertilizer shortages or higher prices coincide with an El Niño-related disruption to rainfall and temperature patterns, the effects could extend from farm input costs to crop yields, commodity prices and food inflation.

This is an example of climate acting as a threat multiplier. It also highlights the importance of supply-chain diversification, soil health, efficient fertilizer use and agricultural technologies that help farmers adapt to more volatile conditions. For investors, historical weather and production patterns may be less and less useful for assessing agricultural risk. At Climate Week we discussed how JPMorgan’s food-security analysis emphasizes how fertilizer disruptions, planting windows and climate variability can combine to create longer-lasting food-system pressures.1 AI is a potent source of innovation in this regard: ClearBridge holding US Foods, for example, uses AI-driven inventory forecasting to cut food waste.

For mining, the key question is how investors can connect community-level impacts to the companies in their portfolios and turn that information into actionable engagement. This is particularly important in industrial parks and complex mineral supply chains, where responsibility may be distributed among mine owners, operators, tenants, suppliers, customers, lenders and public-sector partners. Investors need information that sometimes embodies a complex balance: comparable across portfolios but sufficiently detailed to identify specific harms, responsible parties and potential remedies. Discussions focused on the Indonesian nickel supply chain in light of the EU Battery Regulation, which requires greater supply chain traceability, carbon footprint disclosure and environmental and human rights due diligence for battery materials sold in the EU and is relevant for EV and battery companies that source nickel such as China’s CATL and Tesla.

Sustainability Is a Key Gating Factor for Data Centers and AI

The scale of anticipated AI infrastructure development is intensifying pressure on power systems and local resources. BloombergNEF estimates U.S. data-center power demand could reach 118 gigawatts by 2030 and that data centers could account for roughly one-fifth of U.S. electricity consumption by 2035 (Exhibit 1).

Exhibit 1: Data Centers’ Growing Electricity Consumption

Exhibit 1: Data Centers’ Growing Electricity Consumption

Source: BloombergNEF, DC Byte. Note: Pipeline includes capacity under construction, committed and early stage. MISO is Midcontinent Independent System Operator, Ercot is Electric Reliability Council of Texas and PJM is Pennsylvania–New Jersey–Maryland Interconnection.

Meeting that demand will require substantial new generation and grid infrastructure. Yet long interconnection timelines, transmission constraints and equipment shortages are already affecting where and how quickly projects can proceed. Developers are exploring nuclear power, on-site generation and other behind-the-meter solutions, but each option introduces its own cost, emissions and community considerations.

Power is not the only constraint. Communities are asking whether data centers will increase electricity bills, consume scarce water, create persistent noise or require infrastructure whose costs are ultimately borne by residents. They also want to understand the local benefits, including employment, tax revenue and investments in public infrastructure.

These concerns can delay or prevent development. Sustainability is therefore becoming a practical requirement for translating demand for AI into operating data-center capacity.

Microsoft Raises the Standard for Development

Microsoft, a holding in several ClearBridge portfolios, offers a good example of how hyperscalers are responding. Its community-first infrastructure framework addresses several of the issues that can determine whether a project earns local support. The company has committed to paying the electricity and grid-infrastructure costs associated with its facilities rather than passing them through to residential ratepayers. It is working with utilities to forecast demand, contract for new generation and fund necessary transmission and substation improvements. The company is also targeting a 40% improvement in data-center water-use intensity by 2030 and has begun deploying closed-loop cooling designs that do not require potable water for cooling.

 

"Data center sustainability and economics are becoming closely aligned." 

 

The framework extends beyond environmental performance to include social dimensions. Microsoft has committed to paying full local property taxes, supporting workforce training and investing in schools, libraries and community organizations. It also plans to provide greater local transparency about water use and replenishment.

These measures don’t eliminate every impact associated with data-center development, but they illustrate the higher standard increasingly required of developers: mitigate costs, provide measurable local benefits and engage communities early. Microsoft’s community-first framework reflects the growing recognition that technical capacity alone is insufficient to secure a project’s social license to operate.2

Equinix Focuses on Long-Term Community Trust

A recent engagement with Equinix, another ClearBridge portfolio holding, provides the perspective of a data-center owner and operator. In September 2026 we asked whether faster anticipated capacity growth threatened Equinix’s goal of covering 100% of its power consumption with renewable energy by 2030. The CEO told us the commitment had not changed, noting both Equinix’s own priorities and demand from customers seeking to meet their sustainability commitments.

We also discussed community opposition to new data centers in general. Equinix views itself as a long-term neighbor rather than a temporary developer because it expects to own and operate its facilities for decades. This creates an incentive to establish durable relationships with local stakeholders.

Equinix also distinguishes its average approximately 65-megawatt retail colocation facilities from the hundreds-of-megawatts — and sometimes gigawatt-scale — campuses attracting the greatest scrutiny. While that difference does not remove the need for responsible development, it shows why investors should consider a facility’s scale, design and operating model when evaluating community risk.

Johnson Controls Improves Cooling Efficiency

ClearBridge’s recent engagement with Johnson Controls (JCI) highlighted how equipment suppliers can help address the physical constraints on data centers. JCI’s thermal-management offering includes cold plates, coolant distribution units, chillers and air-cooled technologies. Because it owns several major cooling subsystems, the company can optimize the entire cooling architecture rather than focusing only on the efficiency of an individual component. This system-level approach becomes more important as computing density rises and cooling represents a larger share of facility power requirements.

JCI’s technologies can also respond directly to local environmental concerns. Its cooling solutions can generally be configured for zero-water operation. Magnetic-bearing technology can reduce mechanical noise as well as energy consumption, while major product lines are available with low- and ultra-low-global-warming-potential refrigerants. In certain applications, absorption chillers can use waste heat in place of electricity as a primary energy source.

The engagement reinforced that data center sustainability and economics are becoming closely aligned. Reducing the power, water and noise associated with cooling can lower operating costs while making projects more acceptable to utilities, regulators and neighboring communities.

Vertiv Helps Make Power-Dense AI Feasible

As AI chips increase rack-level power density, data centers require tightly integrated power and thermal-management systems. Vertiv’s closed-loop cooling technologies are well suited to higher-density computing and can reduce dependence on continual water consumption. Its broad offering also allows customers to integrate cooling and power systems more easily — an increasingly important consideration as infrastructure becomes more complex.

Modular construction is another part of the solution from Vertiv. Its prefabricated OneCore platform brings multiple systems together before they reach the construction site, reducing on-site complexity and helping customers bring computing capacity online faster. Its global service network, real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance capabilities support reliability and efficient operation over the facility’s life.

Vertiv’s example illustrates that the sustainability of AI infrastructure is not limited to how electricity is generated. It also depends on how efficiently power is delivered, heat is removed, water is managed and complex facilities are constructed and maintained.

Conclusion

AI’s rapid expansion is creating investment opportunities across technology, utilities, construction and industrial infrastructure. As it is also exposing physical and social constraints, the need to deploy more efficiency could be a tailwind for AI Enablers (Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 2: AI Efficiency Enabler Group Returns by Year

Exhibit 2: AI Efficiency Enabler Group Returns by Year

As of September 22, 2026. Source: Bloomberg Intelligence.

ClearBridge’s research seeks to understand these constraints across the data-center value chain. With developers and operators, we ask whether energy and water commitments can keep pace with growth and how local communities will share in the benefits. With equipment suppliers, we examine total system efficiency, water requirements, refrigerants, noise, reliability and speed to deployment.

A common thread: sustainability is increasingly the mechanism connecting AI demand with practical development. Companies able to lower resource requirements, protect ratepayers, address community concerns and deliver reliable capacity may be better positioned to support — and benefit from — the next phase of AI infrastructure growth.

Related Perspectives

When Revenue Acceleration Overwhelms Quality
AI-driven scarcity is allowing perceived lower-quality companies to post the revenue growth, margin expansion and rising returns investors associate with quality businesses.
Tailwinds Forming for Health Care
Podcast: Improved biopharma funding is proving beneficial to CROs and life science tools companies while patent expirations are separating pharmaceuticals.
Asia, Europe Flex Tech Muscles
Global Growth 2Q26: Performance was driven by AI beneficiaries across semiconductors, storage, networking and optical equipment where pricing power is emerging.
Finding Value Beyond the AI Rally
Global Value Improvers 2Q26: A strong global equity rebound masked uneven leadership, creating opportunities in companies tied to energy security, grid modernization and industrial capex.
Diversifying AI Buildout Exposures
Sustainability Leaders 2Q26: We are maintaining overweight positions in semiconductors, industrials, utilities and materials where we are constructive on “picks and shovels” in the AI infrastructure buildout.
MORE

Related Blog Posts

Emerging Markets: Why Waiting for Certainty Could Be Costly
Emerging markets have significantly evolved in recent years and offer a more compelling risk/reward setup than in the past. From deeper local markets to world-leading companies, EM presents a stronger opportunity than geopolitical volatility suggests.
Energy Hedges the AI Trade
While the AI trade absorbs nearly all available investor attention, owning energy covers our absolute risk while creating the risk budget to cover the AI relative risk more effectively.
A Broader Market, a Stronger Case for Dividend Growth
High-quality dividend growers outside technology offer attractive income, inflation offsets and downside protection as momentum in AI-related stocks shows signs of fatigue.
AOR Update: Are Higher Rates a "Real" Problem?
Higher yields appear less threatening when viewed against the resilient economic and earnings backdrop along with the green ClearBridge U.S. Recession Dashboard.
Health Care’s Next Act: R&D Tailwinds Emerging
Drug development appears to be stabilizing, as improving biopharma funding and healthier demand create a more constructive backdrop for contract research organizations and life science tools companies.
MORE
  • 1  Dr. Sarah Kapnick, “Climate Intuition: Food security under pressure: Iran conflict disruptions and a brewing El Niño.” May 21, 2026.
    2  https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2026/01/13/community-first-ai-infrastructure/

  • Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Copyright © 2026 ClearBridge Investments. All opinions and data included in this commentary are as of the publication date and are subject to change. The opinions and views expressed herein are of the author and may differ from other portfolio managers or the firm as a whole, and are not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results or investment advice. This information should not be used as the sole basis to make any investment decision. The statistics have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of this information cannot be guaranteed. Neither ClearBridge Investments, LLC  nor its information providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.

more